Showing 1 - 10 of 119
error.  Under stochastic volatility the resulting QML estimator is positive semi-definite, uses all available data, is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004207
capital-scarce resource exporter.  I show that capital-scarce countries should still establish a Volatility Fund, but it …) Build a Volatility Fund quickly, then leave it alone;  iii) Invest to stabilise the real exchange rate. The remaining four … improve absorption, vi) Invest part of the Volatility Fund domestically; and vii) Support private investment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011164423
High frequency financial data allows us to learn more about volatility, volatility of volatility and jumps.  One of the … estimates time-varying volatility robustly to jumps.  We improve the scope and efficiency of multipower variation by the use of … first nonparametric high frequency estimator of the volatility of volatility.  A fundamental device in the paper is a new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650770
information that underpin current models of risk pooling. A specially designed economic experiment involving 678 subjects across … attempts to conduct such tests. I find that more extrinsic commitment is associated with more risk pooling, but that more … information is associated with less risk pooling. The first of these results accords with our expectations and assumptions. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604858
face uninsurable labour income risk. Idiosyncratic uncertainty about future labour income reduces the marginal propensity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005047927
An experiment on choices between single and compound lotteries is presented, and results are calibrated with neural network models. Many subjects tend to average out probabilities, though behaviour becomes more rational with more exposure to compound lotteries in the practice stage. The Prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005047948
We exploit a unique opportunity to study how a large population of players in the field learn to play a novel game with a complicated and non-intuitive mixed strategy equilibrium.  We argue that standard models of belief-based learning and reinforcement learning are unable to explain the data,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011085123
This paper explores the welfare implications of a securities transaction tax when informed traders act under short-term objectives. The model presented features speculators who can trade on information of differing time horizons, trade by fully rational uninformed agents, endogenous asset prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010661402
In many countries, house prices are subject to boom/bust cycles and in some these are linked to severe economic and financial instability.  Overheating can have both a price and a quantity dimension, but it is likely that they are linked by common drivers.  However, much depends on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004234
Banks create excessive systemic risk through leverage and maturity mismatch, as financial constraints introduce welfare … required.  Optimally, macroprudential policy reacts to changes in systematic risk and credit conditions over the business cycle …, while microprudential policy reacts to both systematic and idiosyncratic risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004424