Showing 1 - 10 of 12
This paper demonstrates that inertia driven by switching costs leads to more rapid evolution in a class of games that includes m x m pure coordination games. Under the best-response dynamic and a fixed rate of mutation, the expected waiting time to reach long-run equilibrium is of lower order in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005047778
This paper shows how graphs can be used to calculate expected waiting times in models of equilibrium selection. It also shows how reducing the state space can simplify the calculations both of waiting times and selected equilibria. The results are applied to potential games and games with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051165
GARCH models are commonly used as latent processes in econometrics, financial economics and macroeconomics. Yet no exact likelihood analysis of these models has been provided so far. In this paper we outline the issues and suggest a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm which allows the calculation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820306
error.  Under stochastic volatility the resulting QML estimator is positive semi-definite, uses all available data, is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004207
capital-scarce resource exporter.  I show that capital-scarce countries should still establish a Volatility Fund, but it …) Build a Volatility Fund quickly, then leave it alone;  iii) Invest to stabilise the real exchange rate. The remaining four … improve absorption, vi) Invest part of the Volatility Fund domestically; and vii) Support private investment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011164423
High frequency financial data allows us to learn more about volatility, volatility of volatility and jumps.  One of the … estimates time-varying volatility robustly to jumps.  We improve the scope and efficiency of multipower variation by the use of … first nonparametric high frequency estimator of the volatility of volatility.  A fundamental device in the paper is a new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650770
volatility functions, although we have to impose some weak regulatrity assumptions. We illustrate the use of the limit theory on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604813
This paper examines the structural determinants of output volatility in developing countries, and especially the roles … of geography and institutions. We investigate the volatility effects of market access, climate variability, the … market access: remote countries are more likely to have undiversified exports and to experience greater volatility in output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604861
stochastic volatility model. Specifically, a set of unobserved time-dependent factors, along with an associated loading matrix … series is assumed to follow independent three-parameter univariate stochastic volatility processes. A complete analysis of … truly high dimensional models of stochastic volatility. We apply our methods in detail to two datasets. The first is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605134
Recent decades have seen a considerable expansion of global trade and a simultaneous decline in inflation volatility … effect of openness on inflation volatility. This relationship is estimated after controlling for the potential endogeneity of … relationship between openness and inflation volatility is more pronounced in developing and emerging market economies than in OECD …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605138