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forecasts across all maturities studied. We show that the Expectations Theory (ET) of the term structure completely determines …, especially in the case of shorter maturities, but not in the manner prescribed by the Expectations Theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010661419
In countries with credible inflation targeting, it seems plausible to suggest that instead of forming a rational expectation, some firms (inflation-targeters) might simply expect future inflation to always equal its target. This paper analyses the implications of this for optimal monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090687
This paper proposes that all new euro area sovereign borrowing be in the form of jointly guaranteed Eurobonds.  To avoid classic moral hazard problems and to insure the guarantors against default, each country would pay a risk premium conditional on economic fundamentals to a joint debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004159
This paper incorporates limited asset markets participation in dynamic general equilibrium and develops a simple analytical framework for monetary policy analysis. Aggregate dynamics and stability properties of an otherwise standard business cycle model depend nonlinearly on the degree of asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820337
After the global financial crisis, there is greater awareness of the need to understand the interactions between the financial sector and the real economy and hence the potential for financial instability.  Data from the financial flow of funds, previously relatively neglected, are now seen as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011004428
rate is stationary under the Expectations Theory (ET). By considering a complete term structure of maturities it is shown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605210
be claimed indirectly by appeal to theory developed elsewhere.  This modification is significant because these indirect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519523
A Layard/Nickell imperfect competition model is used to derive the long-run Phillips Curve (LRPC).
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005047876
Models of macroeconomic learning are populated by agents who possess a great deal of knowledge of the "true" structure of the economy, and yet ignore the impact of their own learning on that structure; they may learn about an equilibrium, but they do not learn within it.  An alternative learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421152
In an economy with a fixed exchange rate regime that suffers a random adverse shock, we study the strategies of imperfectly and sequentially informed speculators that may trigger an endogenous devaluation before it occurs exogenously. The game played by the speculators has a unique symmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010661412