Showing 1 - 9 of 9
more variance in the size of proposals. Children showed clear evidence of reinforcement learning, responding to a rejection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763176
be led to rules that generate indeterminacy and/or instability under learning. This problem is compounded by uncertainty … about structural parameters since an optimal rule that is determinate and stable under learning for one calibration may be … indeterminate or unstable under learning under a different calibration. We advocate a procedure in which policymakers restrict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593754
solutions under adaptive learning, focusing on "common factor" or "resonant frequency" representations in which the observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593762
We study how the use of judgement or "add-factors" in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593763
We examine existence and stability under learning of sunspot equilibria in a New Keynesian model incorporating inertia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464106
parameter regions in which these sunspots are stable under learning. However, once the parameters are restricted to coincide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635095
A striking implication of the replacement of adaptive expectations by Rational Expectations was the "Lucas Critique," which showed that expectation parameters, and endogenous variable dynamics, depend on policy parameters. We consider this issue from the vantage point of a bounded rationality,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635099
negative). We investigate whether replacing rational expectations by discounted least squares (or "perpetual") learning can … explain the result. We calculate the asymptotic bias under perpetual learning and show that there is a negative bias that … adaptive learning is potentially able to explain the forward premium puzzle. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635112
econometric learning is analyzed using representations that nest both types of equilibria. 2-SSEs and ergodic 2-SSEs are learnable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635127