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the origin of the aggregate volatility reduction. We show that states with relatively high concentrations in the durable-goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360567
Macroeconomic Policies of the Economic and Monetary Union: Theoretical Underpinnings and Challenges Philip Arestis and Malcolm Sawyer, The Levy Economics Institute and Leeds University Abstract This paper presents two issues: first, an effort to decipher the type of economic analysis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076715
The consumer has been on a tightrope since the bursting of the "new economy" bubble, as losses in equity markets have been partly offset by gains in real estate and fiscal support and mortgage refinancing have partly offset increased consumer cautiousness. The consumer will remain on a tightrope...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408134
The anemic U.S. economic recovery and the threat of a double-dip recession stem from the weakness of investment, due to ….e., the all-time-high indebtedness in the face of falling asset prices) are preventing investment from picking up and are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408108
excess of private savings over investment at the desired level of economic activity. The paper outlines the "functional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408077
Recent developments in macroeconomic policy, in terms of both theory and practice, have elevated monetary policy while downgrading fiscal policy. Monetary policy has focused on the setting of interest rates as the key policy instrument, along with the adoption of inflation targets and the use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408097
A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027317
Recently, models of monetary policy have been constructed to include structural breaks to account for changes in policymaker preferences or operating procedures. These models typically assume that when changes occur, they happen once and for all. In this paper, we allow the policymaker and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490882
Monetary policy VARs typically presume stability of the long-run outcomes. We introduce the possibility of switches in the long-run equilibrium in a cointegrated VAR by allowing both the covariance matrix and weighting matrix in the error-correction term to switch. We find that monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490901
We find that the magnitudes of the regional effects of monetary policy were considerably dampened during the Volcker-Greenspan era. Further, regional differences in the depths of monetary-policy-induced recessions are related to the concentration of the banking sector, whereas differences in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490938