A spurious regression model is one in which the dependent and independent variables are non-stationary, but not cointegrated, and the data are not filtered (e.g., by differencing) before the model is estimated. It is well known that in this case the asymptotic behaviour of the least squares...

A “spurious regression” is one in which the time-series variables are non-stationary and independent. It is well-known that in this context the OLS parameter estimates and the R2 converge to functionals of Brownian motions; the “t-ratios” diverge in distribution; and the Durbin-Watson...

We consider the problem of testing for unit roots at the zero and seasonal frequencies in time-series data which are recorded semi-annually. The proposed methodology follows that of Hylleberg et al. (1990) and Beaulieu and Miron (1993) for quarterly and monthly data respectively. The...

This paper contributes new evidence relating to the hypothesis that there has been convergence between certain male and female offences over time. Using time-series data for adults charged with offences in Canada over the period 1983 to 2000, we conduct several formal econometric tests of the...

This paper develops a structural, latent variable, model for the hidden economy in New Zealand, and a separate currency-demand model. The latent variable model is used to generate an historical time-series index of hidden economic activity, which is calibrated via the information from the...

This paper considers unit root testing of time-series data with missing observations. Three procedures for dealing with the gaps are discussed. These include: ignoring the gaps, replacing the gaps with the last available observation, and filling the gaps with a linear interpolation method. The...

This paper duscusses tha author's wok on measuring and modelling the New Zealand underground economy, 1968-1994. Particular attention is paid to the relationship between this activity and taxation policy. An optimal level for the effective tax rate is reported, in terms of maximizing the impact...

This paper considers unit root testing of time-series data with missing observations. Three procedures for dealing with the gaps are discussed. These include: ignoring the gaps, replacing the gaps with the last available observation, and filling the gaps with a linear interpolation method. The...

Using generalizations of Benford’s Law we test for the absence of psychological barriers at various price levels in eBay auctions for professional football tickets. Our empirical results indicate that this hypothesis cannot be rejected.

The Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit test has a highly skewed and non-standard limit distribution. Various attempts have been made to tabulate the associated critical points, using both theoretical approximations and simulation methods. We show that a standard saddlepoint approximation performs...