Showing 1 - 10 of 12
Modelling, monitoring and forecasting volatility are indispensible to sensible portfolio risk management. The … volatility of an asset of composite index can be traded by using volatility derivatives, such as volatility and variance swaps …, options and futures. The most popular volatility index is VIX, which is a key measure of market expectations of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009358981
In this paper we quantify the impact of wealth transfers such as remittances and foreign aid using a DSGE-RBC model. We calibrate and simulate the model using data from 85 recipient countries. Within this framework we demonstrate: First, the income eect created from a permanent increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010812356
This paper analyzes two indexes in order to capture the volatility inherent in El Niños Southern Oscillations (ENSO … suitable for modelling ENSO volatility accurately, and that 1998 is a turning point, which indicates that the ENSO strength has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575432
mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model …, and alternative volatility models, including the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model … reached a peak in 2008. We also find that that the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008525344
realized volatility models, not confusing thresholds, asymmetry and leverage, not underestimating the complexity of … multivariate volatility models, and thinking carefully about forecasting models and expertise. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553000
The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the volatility in global fertilizer prices. The endogenous structural … breakpoint unit root test and alternative volatility models, including the generalized autoregressive conditional … volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in other periods, and that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008500623
purpose of this paper is to analyze these two indexes in order to capture the volatility inherent in ENSO. The empirical … results show that both the ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) and ARMA(3,2)-GJR(1,1) models are suitable for modelling ENSO volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008465228
exchange rate increases the significant direct and indirect past shock and volatility effects on future volatility between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008465229
This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble in NASDAQ. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907392
integrated volatility and covariance with micro-market noise, stress testing correlation matrices for risk management, whether … and volatility series, the economics of data using simple model free volatility in a high frequency world, arbitrage …-free implied vola-tility surfaces for options on single stock futures, the non-uniform pricing effect of employee stock options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907402