Showing 1 - 10 of 12
This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble in NASDAQ. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907392
integrated volatility and covariance with micro-market noise, stress testing correlation matrices for risk management, whether … and volatility series, the economics of data using simple model free volatility in a high frequency world, arbitrage …-free implied vola-tility surfaces for options on single stock futures, the non-uniform pricing effect of employee stock options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907402
cor-relations and volatility spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns, pricing exotic options using the Wang … transform, the rise and fall of S&P500 variance futures, predicting volatility using Markov switching multifractal model … approach, forecasting volatility via stock return, range, trading volume and spillover effects: the case of Brazil, estimating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907433
mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models … price while the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907445
Modelling, monitoring and forecasting volatility are indispensible to sensible portfolio risk management. The … volatility of an asset of composite index can be traded by using volatility derivatives, such as volatility and variance swaps …, options and futures. The most popular volatility index is VIX, which is a key measure of market expectations of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009358981
In this paper we quantify the impact of wealth transfers such as remittances and foreign aid using a DSGE-RBC model. We calibrate and simulate the model using data from 85 recipient countries. Within this framework we demonstrate: First, the income eect created from a permanent increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010812356
realized volatility models, not confusing thresholds, asymmetry and leverage, not underestimating the complexity of … multivariate volatility models, and thinking carefully about forecasting models and expertise. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553000
The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the volatility in global fertilizer prices. The endogenous structural … breakpoint unit root test and alternative volatility models, including the generalized autoregressive conditional … volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in other periods, and that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008500623
mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model …, and alternative volatility models, including the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model … reached a peak in 2008. We also find that that the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008525344
This paper analyzes two indexes in order to capture the volatility inherent in El Niños Southern Oscillations (ENSO … suitable for modelling ENSO volatility accurately, and that 1998 is a turning point, which indicates that the ENSO strength has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575432