Showing 1 - 10 of 45
This paper investigates by means of Monte Carlo techniques the robustness of the CUSUM and CUSUM-of-squares tests (Brown et al., 1975) to serial correlation, endogeneity and lack of structural invariance. Our findings suggest that these tests perform better in the context of a dynamic model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005764152
This paper deals with optimal window width choice in non-parametric lag- or spectral window estimation of the spectral density of a stationary zero-mean process. Several approaches are reviewed: the cross-validation based methods described by Hurvich (1985), Beltrao & Bloomfield (1987) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005764191
In this study, we examine the Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman (BDS) test when applied to the standardised residuals of an estimated GARCH(1,1) model as a test for the adequacy of this specification. We review the conditions derived by De Lima (1996, Econometric Reviews, 15, 237-259) for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005764201
The extended Hodrick-Prescott (HP) method was developed by Polasek (2011) for a class of data smoother based on second order smoothness. This paper develops a new extended HP smoothing model that can be applied for spatial smoothing problems. In Bayesian smoothing we need a linear regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860377
Growth rate data that are collected incompletely in cross-sections is a quite frequent problem. Chow and Lin (1971) have developed a method for predicting unobserved disaggregated time series and we propose an extension of the procedure for completing cross-sectional growth rates similar to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904374
The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) method is a popular smoothing method for economic time series to get a smooth or long-term component of stationary series like growth rates. We show that the HP smoother can be viewed as a Bayesian linear model with a strong prior using differencing matrices for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904375
Beer sales in Germany are confronted for several years with a shrinking market share in the market of alcoholic beverages. I use the approach of sales response function (SRF) models as in Polasek and Baier (2010) and adapt it to time series observation of beer sales for simultaneous estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652537
We analyze the influence of newly constructed globalization measures on regional growth for the EU-27 countries between 2001 and 2006. The spatial Chow-Lin procedure, a method constructed by the authors, was used to construct on a NUTS-2 level a complete regional data for exports, imports and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643725
Completing data sets that are collected in heterogeneous units is a quite frequent problem. Chow and Lin (1971) were the first to develop a united framework for the three problems (interpolation, extrapolation and distribution) of predicting times series by related series (the 'indicators')....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005039657
The paper compares the cointegration methods of Johansen and Bierens by means of simulations and a real world example. Drawing on the fact developed in a companion paper that the Johansen procedure has robustness properties against ARMA systems and the Bierens procedure is designed for ARMA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704183