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Eickmeier, Sandra; Gambacorta, Leonardo; Hofmann, Boris - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2013

We explore the concept of global liquidity based on a factor model estimated using a large set of financial and … macroeconomic variables from 24 advanced and emerging market economies. We measure global liquidity conditions based on the common … global factors in the dynamics of liquidity indicators. By imposing theoretically motivated sign restrictions on factor …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957104

Inflation, deflation, and uncertainty: What drives euro area option-implied inflation expectations and are they still anchored in the sovereign debt crisis?

Scharnagl, Michael; Stapf, Jelena - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2014

We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957128

Monetary policy and the oil futures market

Eickmeier, Sandra; Lombardi, Marco J. - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2012

We assess the transmission of monetary policy shocks on oil prices using a VAR model. We identify monetary policy and financial activity shocks disentangled from demand and oil supply shocks using sign restrictions. We obtain the following main findings. (i) Monetary policy and financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957148

Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in a New Keynesian model with capital accumulation and non-Ricardian consumers

Leith, Campbell; von Thadden, Leopold - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2006

This paper develops a small New Keynesian model with capital accumulation and government debt dynamics. The paper discusses the design of simple monetary and fiscal policy rules consistent with determinate equilibrium dynamics in the absence of Ricardian equivalence. Under this assumption,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083241

Monetary policy and stock market volatility

Bleich, Dirk; Fendel, Ralf; Rülke, Jan-Christoph - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2013

We estimate forward-looking interest rate reaction functions in the spirit of Taylor (1993) for four major central banks augmented by implicit volatilities of stock market indices to proxy financial market stress. Our results suggest that the Bank of England, the Federal Reserve Bank and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010984714