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What Is the Best Risk Measure in Practice? A Comparison of Standard Measures

Emmer, Suzanne; Kratz, Marie; Tasche, Dirk - HAL - 2013

Expected Shortfall (ES) has been widely accepted as a risk measure that is conceptually superior to Value-at-Risk (VaR). At the same time, however, it has been criticized for issues relating to backtesting. In particular, ES has been found not to be elicitable which means that backtesting for ES...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821003

The Impact of Systemic Risk on the Diversification Benefits of a Risk Portfolio

Busse, Marc; Dacorogna, Michel; Kratz, Marie - HAL - 2013

Risk diversification is the basis of insurance and investment. It is thus crucial to study the effects that could limit it. One of them is the existence of systemic risk that affects all the policies at the same time. We introduce here a probabilistic approach to examine the consequences of its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899196

On the Risk Comovements between the Crude Oil Market and the U.S. Dollar Exchange Rates

Truchis, Gilles De; Keddad, Benjamin - HAL - 2014

both fractional cointegration and copula techniques. The former exploits the long memory behavior of the volatility … for the European and British exchange rates. Concerning the copula analysis, we conclude in favor of weak dependence when …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933834

The pricing of correlated default risk: evidence from the credit derivatives market

Zhu, Haibin; Tarashev, Nikola A. - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2008

In order to analyze the pricing of portfolio credit risk – as revealed by tranche spreads of a popular credit default swap (CDS) index – we extract risk-neutral probabilities of default (PDs) and physical asset return correlations from single-name CDS spreads. The time profile and overall...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082786

Non-stationarity and meta-distribution

Guegan, Dominique - HAL - 2008

In this paper we deal with the problem of non-stationarity encountered in a lot of data sets, mainly in financial and economics domains, coming from the presence of multiple seasonnalities, jumps, volatility, distorsion, aggregation, etc. Existence of non-stationarity involves spurious behaviors...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750362

Global and local stationary modelling in finance : theory and empirical evidence

Guegan, Dominique - HAL - 2007

In this paper we deal with the problem of non-stationarity encountered in a lot of data sets coming from existence of multiple seasonnalities, jumps, volatility, distorsion, aggregation, etc. We study the problem caused by these non stationarities on the estimation of the sample autocorrelation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750670

Pricing bivariate option under GARCH processes with time-varying copula

Zhang, Jing; Guegan, Dominique - HAL - 2008

Heteroskedastic (GARCH) process. As the association between the underlying assets may vary over time, the dynamic copula with time …-varying parameter offers a better alternative to any static model for dependence structure and even to the dynamic copula model … Shanghai and Shenzhen stock composite indexes. Results show that the option prices obtained by the time-varying copula model …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750766

Pricing bivariate option under GARCH-GH model with dynamic copula : application for Chinese market

Guegan, Dominique; Zhang, Jing - HAL - 2007

is used for innovations. As the association between the underlying assets may vary over time, the dynamic copula approach …-GH model with time-varying copula differ substantially from the prices implied by the GARCH-Gaussian dynamic copula model …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750828

Pricing bivariate option under GARCH-GH model with dynamic copula: application for Chinese market

Guegan, Dominique; Zhang, Jing - HAL - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738494

Pricing bivariate option under GARCH processes with time-varying copula

Zhang, Jing; Guegan, Dominique - HAL - 2008

Heteroskedastic (GARCH) process. As the association between the underlying assets may vary over time, the dynamic copula with time …-varying parameter offers a better alternative to any static model for dependence structure and even to the dynamic copula model … Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Composite Indexes. Results show that the option prices obtained by the time-varying copula model …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738655