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Financial Liberalization and Business Cycles: The Experience of Countries in the Baltics and Central Eastern Europe

Vinhas de Souza, Lúcio - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2004

This paper extends the work of Kaminsky and Schmukler (2003) to the Baltic and Central Eastern European future Member States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial integration is observed in this specific sample of ?emerging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083257

German bank lending during emerging market crises: A bank level analysis

Heid, Frank; Nestmann, Thorsten; Mauro, di; Weder, Beatrice - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2004

This paper studies German bank lending during the Asian and Russian crises, using a bank level data set, which has been compiled from credit data at the Deutsche Bundesbank. Our aim is to gain more insight into the pattern of German bank lending during financial crises in emerging markets. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082775

Tail dependence of financial stocks and CDS markets: Evidence using copula methods and simulation-based inference

Silva, Paulo Pereira da; Rebelo, Paulo Tomaz; Afonso, … - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2013

Using copula methods and simulation-based inference the authors address the association between the performance of the stocks of European banks and the CDS markets. Their analysis has three purposes: (i) analysing the dependence structure of the markets when extreme events occur; (ii) checking...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956052

Fixed-income portfolio management in crisis period: Expected tail loss (ETL) approach

Mili, Mehdi - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2012

The purpose of this study is to develop an efficient strategy for managing fixed-income portfolios in crisis periods. We use the volatility ratio model of Briere and Szafarz (2008) and the Expected Tail Loss (ETL) approach of Litzenberger and Modest (2008). Our methodology is applied to U.S. and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956076

Contagion Between European and US Banks: Evidence from Equity Prices

Fricke, Daniel - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2010

This paper employs an Extreme Value Theory framework to investigate the existence of contagion between European and US … finding market-based indicators in order to analyze the effects of crises and to quantify the risk of contagion. The Distance … coexceedances allows to interpret significant coefficients of foreign lagged coexceedances as contagion. The main finding is that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764567

Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Price Discovery and Volatility Dynamics in Emerging Markets

International Monetary Fund - 2009

This study characterizes volatility dynamics in external emerging bond markets and examines how prices and volatility respond to news about macroeconomic fundamentals. As in mature bond markets, macroeconomic surprises in external emerging bond markets are found to a¤ect both conditional...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404285

A Bargaining Theory of Trade Invoicing and Pricing

Goldberg, Linda; Tille, Cédric - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2013

We develop a theoretical model of international trade pricing in which individual exporters and importers bargain over the transaction price and exposure to exchange rate fluctuations. We find that the choice of price and invoicing currency reflects the full market structure, including the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886869

Do Real Exchange Rate Appreciations Matter for Growth?

Bussière, Matthieu; Lopez, Claude; Tille, Cédric - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2014

While the impact of exchange rate changes on economic growth has long been an issue of key importance in international macroeconomics, it has received renewed attention in recent years, owing to weaker growth rates and the debate on "currency wars". However, in spite of its prevalence in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886950

German bank lending to industrial and non-industrial countries: driven by fundamentals or different treatment?

Nestmann, Thorsten - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2005

This paper shows that the substantial disparity in German bank lending towards industrial (IC) and non-industrial (Non-IC) countries is largely explained by differences in countries' endowments and only to a minor extent by German banks' different treatment of these country groups. This is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082765

Are All Measures of International Reserves Created Equal? An Empirical Comparison of International Reserve Ratios

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Yuk-Pang Wong, Clement - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2007

Using available annual data of 174 economies since 1957, we examine the similarities and differences of seven international reserve ratios. While individual international reserve ratios display substantial variations across economies, they are associated with an economy?s characteristics...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083328

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