This paper examines the consequences of using "real-time" data for business cycle analysis in Germany based on a novel data set covering quarterly real output data from 1968 to 2001. Real-time output gaps are calculated. They differ considerably from their counterparts based on the most recent...

We report results on the ex ante predictability of monthly excess stock returns in Germany using real-time and revised macroeconomic data. Our real-time macroeconomic data cover the period 1994-2005. We report three results. 1) Real-time macroeconomic data did not contribute much to ex ante...

In February 1998 a work was published in the series of discussion papers produced by the Bundesbank which was concemed with problems of measuring inflation in Gerrnany. This paper met with a lively response. The Research Group of the Bundesbank therefore staged a workshop on this subject at...