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What are the effects of a higher central bank inflation target on the burden of real public debt? Several recent … proposals have suggested that even a moderate increase in the inflation target can have a pronounced effect on real public debt … inflation target. We find that moderate changes in the inflation target only have significant effects on real public debt if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957089
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083091
Structural VAR studies disagree with narrative accounts about the history of monetary policy disturbances. We investigate whether employing the narrative monetary shock account as a proxy variable in a VAR model aligns both shock series. We quantify the extent to which the disagreement still...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957085
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083106
and disadvantages of the various output gap measures. First, I examine the usefulness of the output gap for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083207
In this paper an anti-cyclical fiscal policy rule is introduced into a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with New-Keynesian features. The rule allows the deficit to deviate from target in proportion to the impact of automatic stabilisers while any additional impact on the deficit, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083214
significantly to the determination of inflation and of the dynamics of output. We estimate our model using a maximum likelihood … Geldmenge einen signifikanten Beitrag zur Erklärung der Inflation und der Dynamik des Bruttoinlandsprodukts leistet. Das Model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083222
Global liquidity expansion has been very dynamic since 2001. Contrary to conventional wisdom, high money growth rates have not coincided with a concurrent rise in goods prices. At the same time, however, asset prices have increased sharply, significantly outpacing the subdued development in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083225
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083244
inflation stability and whether, in the presence of financial frictions, the optimal outcome can be realized or approached more … inflation targeting cum exchange rate stabilization and a price-level targeting are more suitable rules in minimizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583542