Showing 1 - 10 of 71
This paper addresses the relative importance of monetary indicators for forecasting inflation in the euro area in a … empirical question whether the group of monetary variables is relevant for forecasting euro area inflation. In our application …, we consider about thirty monetary and non-monetary indicators for inflation. Using this data, BMA provides inclusion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083269
and disadvantages of the various output gap measures. First, I examine the usefulness of the output gap for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083207
household and expert inflation expectations in five core European economies (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain … in high inflation countries are using higher best fitting constant gain parameters than those in low inflation countries … frequently than households. Furthermore, household expectations in the Euro Area have not converged to the inflation goal of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083250
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083091
In recent macroeconomic theory, relative price variability (RPV) generates the central distortions of inflation. This … paper provides first evidence on the empirical relation between inflation and RPV in the euro area focusing on threshold … effects of inflation. We find that expected inflation significantly increases RPV if inflation is either very low (below -1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083111
This paper reviews theory and evidence of the welfare effects of inflation from a costbenefit perspective. Basic models … and selected empirical results are discussed. Historically, in assessing the welfare effects of inflation, the distortion … of money demand played a prominent role. More recently, interactions of inflation and taxation came into focus. Growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083118
experts? inflation expectations, we find that the model adequately captures the dynamics of household inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083127
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083148
We examine the global dimension of inflation in 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007 in a traditional Phillips curve … to affect inflation through (the common part of) domestic demand and supply conditions. Our most important result is that … the common component of changes in unit labor costs notably affects inflation. We also find evidence that movements in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083248
Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093846