Showing 1 - 10 of 156
inflation-unemployment trade-off we account for a time-varying inflation trend to control for the part of inflation that is not … affected by the cyclical component of unemployment. In addition we use shifts in the relative volatility of shocks to … unemployment and inflation to address the simultaneity problem in Phillips curve estimations. Applying the method of Rigobon and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008674218
Structural VAR studies disagree with narrative accounts about the history of monetary policy disturbances. We investigate whether employing the narrative monetary shock account as a proxy variable in a VAR model aligns both shock series. We quantify the extent to which the disagreement still...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957085
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083106
This paper examines the methods used by the Bank of Japan for the estimation of the output gap. Attention is paid to the real-time estimation problem. After reviewing the evolution of output gap estimation at the Bank, I discuss advantages and disadvantages of the various output gap measures....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083207
In this paper an anti-cyclical fiscal policy rule is introduced into a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with New-Keynesian features. The rule allows the deficit to deviate from target in proportion to the impact of automatic stabilisers while any additional impact on the deficit, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083214
In this paper we estimate a simple New-Keynesian DSGE model with German data for the sample period 1970:q1 to 1998:q4. Contrary to a number of recent similar papers estimated with US and euro-area data, we find that real money balances contribute significantly to the determination of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083222
Labor market studies on the effects of minimum wages are typically confined to the sector or worker group directly affected. We present a two-sector search model in which one sector is more productive than the other one and thus, pays higher wages. In such a framework, setting a minimum wage in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083115
We consider a dynamic general equilibrium model with collective wage bargaining and investigate how unemployment … unemployment persistence by its adverse impact on growth, and may even destabilize the adjustment path. If this is the case, a … future fiscal consolidation is needed which further raises unemployment. These results are consistent with empirical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083290
We incorporate a wage bargaining structure in a dynamic general equilibrium model and show how this feature changes short and long-run properties of equilibria compared with a perfectly competitive setting. We discuss how employment, capital, and income shares respond to wage setting shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083312
In a New Keynesian DSGE model with labor market frictions and liquidity-constrained consumers aggregate unemployment is … reacts very differently from the group of liquidity-constrained consumers implying that the unemployment rate is likely to …'s parameters, we find that the size of the fiscal (unemployment) multiplier increases with i) highly sticky prices, ii) high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534147