Showing 1 - 10 of 83
This paper studies the long-run relationship between consumption, asset wealth and income – the consumption-wealth ratio – in Germany, based on data from 1980 to 2003. Earlier papers for the Anglo-Saxon economies have documented that departures of these three variables from their common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083144
The current crisis and discussions, in the euro area in particular, show that sovereign debt crises/defaults are no longer restricted to developing economies. After crises in many Latin American countries, the literature on quantitative dynamic macro-models of sovereign default has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009283656
This paper discusses various approaches to decompose economic time series into their trend and cyclical components. For over 30 years now, the Deutsche Bundesbank publishes trend-adjusted indicators in its Statistical Supplement 4 entitled ?Seasonally Adjusted Business Statistics? which are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083278
. Our empirical findings show that the factor estimation methods don't differ much with respect to nowcasting accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083220
paper, we compare their performance in a relevant case for policy making, i.e., nowcasting and forecasting quarterly GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083259
This paper reviews theory and evidence of the welfare effects of inflation from a costbenefit perspective. Basic models and selected empirical results are discussed. Historically, in assessing the welfare effects of inflation, the distortion of money demand played a prominent role. More...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083118
When countries, and macroeconomic models, open up to international capital markets, the welfare gains available through completion of financial markets for contingencies potentially are much greater than those available from access to noncontingent international borrowing. Intercasual insurance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083122
The saving ratio of households in Germany has increased in the past few years when the income trend was weak. This could be due to precautionary saving. In this paper, the importance of precautionary saving against income uncertainty is analyzed empirically using micro data from the German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083262
We employ a life-cycle model with income risk to analyze how tax-deferred individual accounts affect households' savings for retirement. We consider voluntary accounts as opposed to mandatory accounts with minimum contribution rates. We contrast add-on accounts with carve-out accounts that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646496
The question as to whether the globalisation-related increase in competitive pressure may have caused the importance of exchange rate pass-through and pricing-to-market for export pricing in Germany to shift since the 1990s is addressed by testing the long-run export pricing behaviour of German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083076