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On 3 December EY hosted a SUERF conference on banking reform with Sir Howard Davies, the Chairman of RBS, and Dame Colette Bowe, the Chairman of the Banking Standards Board, as the two keynote speakers. Professor David Miles (Imperial College) gave the SUERF 2015 Annual Lecture on Capital and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557140
Outright bank failures without prior indication of financial instability are very rare. Supervisory authorities monitor … regarded as troubled to varying degrees before outright closure. But to our knowledge virtually all studies that predict bank … failures neglect the ordinal nature of bank distress. Exploiting the distress database of the Deutsche Bundesbank we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082759
SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum, the Deutsche Bundesbank and the Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) took the opportunity of the first anniversary of this new institution to organise a joint conference in Berlin on 8-9 November 2011. The purpose of this event was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711529
This paper introduces a multivariate pure-jump Lévy process which allows for skewness and excess kurtosis of single asset returns and for asymptotic tail dependence in the multivariate setting. It is termed Variance Compound Gamma (VCG). The novelty of my approach is that, by applying a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010954914
We examine contagion from a number of financial systems to the German financial system using the information content of CDS prices in a GARCH model. After controlling for common factors which may cause comovement in security prices, we find evidence for contagion from the US and European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010954915
to an executive board is an outsider (an individual without previous employment at the bank) compared to being an insider … effects, we find weak evidence that social ties are associated with reduced profitability. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010954916
Carrying out interbank contagion simulations for the German banking sector for the period from the first quarter of 2008 to the second quarter of 2011, we obtain the following results: (i) The system becomes less vulnerable to direct interbank contagion over time. (ii) The loss distribution for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010954917
probable links with the largest exposures consistent with the total lending and borrowing of each bank, leading to networks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957084
In this paper we relate a bank's choice between retail and wholesale liabilities to real economic uncertainty and the … resulting volatility of bank loan volumes. We argue that since the volume of retail deposits is slow and costly to adjust to … shocks in the volume of bank assets, banks facing more intense uncertainty and more volatile loan demand tend to employ more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957087
Over the past two decades, Germany experienced several periods of banking system instability rather than full-blown banking system crises. In this paper we introduce a continuous and forward-looking stability indicator for the banking system based on information on all financial institutions in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957094