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National accounts data are always revised. Not only recent data, but also figures dating many years back can be revised substantially. This means that there is a danger that an important part of the central bank's information set is flawed for a long period of time. In this paper we present a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005059039
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083091
with problems of measuring inflation in Gerrnany. This paper met with a lively response. The Research Group of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010470805
This paper studies optimal monetary policy responses in an economy featuring sectorial heterogeneity in the frequency of price adjustments. It shows that a central bank facing heterogeneous nominal rigidities is more likely to behave less aggressively than in a fully sticky economy. Hence, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083240
household and expert inflation expectations in five core European economies (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain … in high inflation countries are using higher best fitting constant gain parameters than those in low inflation countries … frequently than households. Furthermore, household expectations in the Euro Area have not converged to the inflation goal of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083250
This paper addresses the relative importance of monetary indicators for forecasting inflation in the euro area in a … empirical question whether the group of monetary variables is relevant for forecasting euro area inflation. In our application …, we consider about thirty monetary and non-monetary indicators for inflation. Using this data, BMA provides inclusion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083269
is measurement error in the narrative time series, another is a misspecification of the VAR model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957085
What are the effects of a higher central bank inflation target on the burden of real public debt? Several recent … proposals have suggested that even a moderate increase in the inflation target can have a pronounced effect on real public debt … inflation target. We find that moderate changes in the inflation target only have significant effects on real public debt if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957089
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083106