Showing 1 - 10 of 155
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083244
output or inflation as in the empirical "two-pillar" Phillips curves estimated in some recent contributions, it would be …-checking does not require direct effects of money on output or inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083254
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083091
Structural VAR studies disagree with narrative accounts about the history of monetary policy disturbances. We investigate whether employing the narrative monetary shock account as a proxy variable in a VAR model aligns both shock series. We quantify the extent to which the disagreement still...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957085
cycle model. In particular, we analyze the effect of a monetary policy shock and investigate how labor market frictions … employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083106
and disadvantages of the various output gap measures. First, I examine the usefulness of the output gap for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083207
In this paper an anti-cyclical fiscal policy rule is introduced into a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with New-Keynesian features. The rule allows the deficit to deviate from target in proportion to the impact of automatic stabilisers while any additional impact on the deficit, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083214
significantly to the determination of inflation and of the dynamics of output. We estimate our model using a maximum likelihood … Geldmenge einen signifikanten Beitrag zur Erklärung der Inflation und der Dynamik des Bruttoinlandsprodukts leistet. Das Model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083222
The dynamics of the Phillips Curve in New Keynesian, Expectations Augmented and Hybrid forms are extremely sensitive to the choice, timing and restrictions on variables. An important element of the debate revolves round what information decision-makers took into account at the time and round...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083279
The canonical New Keynesian model specifies inflation as the present-value of future real marginal cost. This paper … assess the model's ability to match the behavior of actual inflation. In accordance to the literature, the model fits Euro … and a completely failing model. Allowing for inflation inertia through backward-looking indexation narrows confidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083208