Tang, Dragon Yongjun; Yan, Hong - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2008
structural credit risk models. Using credit default swap (CDS) spreads, we find that, in the time series, average credit spreads … are decreasing in GDP growth rate, but increasing in GDP growth volatility. We document that credit spreads are lower when … volatility raises credit spreads. More importantly, we demonstrate that the impact of market conditions on credit spreads is …