Showing 1 - 10 of 195
The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083244
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083148
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083091
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083106
inflation stability and whether, in the presence of financial frictions, the optimal outcome can be realized or approached more … inflation targeting cum exchange rate stabilization and a price-level targeting are more suitable rules in minimizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583542
We assess the transmission of monetary policy shocks on oil prices using a VAR model. We identify monetary policy and financial activity shocks disentangled from demand and oil supply shocks using sign restrictions. We obtain the following main findings. (i) Monetary policy and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957148
This paper presents empirical evidence on the behaviour of interbank lending in Germany after a monetary policy impulse. Our VAR analysis shows that following a monetary contraction, the banking system as a whole attracts additional funds from foreign banks. Whereas small cooperative and savings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083202
This paper re-investigates the implications of monetary policy rules on changes in exchange rate, in a risk-adjusted, uncovered interest parity model with unrestricted parameters, emphasizing the importance of modeling market expectations of monetary policy. I use consensus forecasts as a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009283654
output or inflation as in the empirical "two-pillar" Phillips curves estimated in some recent contributions, it would be …-checking does not require direct effects of money on output or inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083254
price setters to infer the central bank's future policy intentions, thereby making current inflation more responsive to … policy actions. This induces the central bank to pay more attention to inflation rather than output gap stabilization. Then …, transparency may be disadvantageous. It may actually be a policy-distorting straitjacket if the central bank enjoys low-inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083135