Showing 1 - 10 of 77
We use a compound option-based structural credit risk model to infer a term structure of banking crisis risk from … structure assigns a separate estimator for short- and long-term default risk to each maturity. Applying the Duan (1994) maximum … likelihood approach, we find for Kazakhstan that the overall crisis probability was mainly driven by short-term risk, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008595896
In this paper we propose exact likelihood-based mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio in the context of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a special case. These tests are developed in the framework of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083101
We use a unique and comprehensive data set on open-end real estate funds in Germany to study a liquidity crisis that hit this industry between 2005 and 2006. Since this industry is comparably unregulated our data set permits us to contrast competing explanations of liquidity crisis. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533497
In recent years, a number of papers have established a new empirical regularity. Stocks of distressed firms vastly underperform those of financially healthy firms. It is not necessary to attribute the negative excess returns of distressed firms to inefficient or irrational markets. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005059016
The flow of information between futures and spot prices may vary over time, in particular during periods of stress. This article analyses the information content of the Bund Future and German government bonds during 1998 and test whether it is constant over time. The use of high-frequency data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005059035
traders adjust the premium more for transactions with higher inventory risk. Third, trading with buy-side investors who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010984735
sovereign debt crisis have been driven mainly by weak growth prospects and heightened sovereign risk and to a lesser extent, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957160
Using arbitrage-free affine models, we analyze the dynamics of German bond yields and risk premia for the period 1999 … macroeconomic factors allows us to analyze their effect on the risk aversion of market participants. Looking at the impact of the … recent crises, we see that particularly the market prices of risk for the real activity and the price factor changed most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957117
find themselves in a position in which their solvency is at risk. A scenario analysis is used to examine the stage at which … funds requirements. This points to a potential solvency risk in the life insurance industry. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093842
find themselves in a position in which their solvency is at risk. A scenario analysis is used to examine the stage at which … funds requirements. This points to a potential solvency risk in the life insurance industry. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093843