Showing 1 - 10 of 81
We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has … the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on … options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer prices provides us with the full distribution of inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957128
This study empirically examine the impact of market conditions on credit spreads as motivated by recently developed structural credit risk models. Using credit default swap (CDS) spreads, we find that, in the time series, average credit spreads are decreasing in GDP growth rate, but increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082769
We consider the properties of two monetary policy rules ("strict inflation targeting", "constant money growth rule") in … nominal terms. Under a constant money growth rule which allows for temporary deviations of inflation from target in response … contrast, a policy of strict inflation targeting implements the target inflation rate also outside the steady state and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083165
In this paper an anti-cyclical fiscal policy rule is introduced into a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with New-Keynesian features. The rule allows the deficit to deviate from target in proportion to the impact of automatic stabilisers while any additional impact on the deficit, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083214
This paper develops a small New Keynesian model with capital accumulation and government debt dynamics. The paper discusses the design of simple monetary and fiscal policy rules consistent with determinate equilibrium dynamics in the absence of Ricardian equivalence. Under this assumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083241
-state real interest rate is independent of inflation. If this is the case, there exists in our model a unique steady state with … terms of the 'activeness' of the interest rate feedback on inflation. This is ruled out under monetary targeting. …-Effektes bezüglich der Inflation in der Zinsregel unterscheiden. Eine derartige Konstellation globaler Indeterminiertheit tritt bei der …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083289
Pre-Accession Transition Countries (PATCs) aim at early admittance to the monetary club. Their fiscal indicators – deficit and debt - do not show any serious symptoms. Closer scrutiny reveals, however, that the interest burden of their public debt might be underestimated, and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005059023
In this paper, we study the effects of government debt on macroeconomic aggregates in a non-Ricardian framework. We develop a micro-founded framework which combines time-varying markups, endogenous labor supply and overlapping generations based on infinitely-lived families. The main contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008756423
This paper provides an overview on classical and new methods for testing time series properties of migration matrices. It is well known that due to cyclical behaviour of the economy transition matrices for many credit portfolios cannot be considered to be constant through time. Further,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082757
We study the risk of holding credit default swaps (CDS) in the trading book. In particular, we compare the Value at Risk (VaR) of a CDS position to the VaR for investing in the respective firm's equity. Our sample consists of CDS – stock price pairs for 86 actively traded firms over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082760