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apparently in favour of Balassa-Samuelson effects may require a re-interpretation. The model is estimated for a panel of CEE … scheinen, müssen deshalb möglicherweise neu interpretiert werden. Das Modell wird für ein Panel von mittel- und osteuropäischen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083090
This paper gives a brief survey of forecasting with panel data. Starting with a simple error component regression and … applications, running horse races between heterogeneous and homogeneous panel data models using out of sample forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083228
interest rate reaction functions based on a panel including actual EMU Member States. We find that exploiting the cross …-section dimen- sion of a multi-country panel and accounting for cross-country heterogeneity in advance of the single monetary policy … panel reaction function which is demonstrated to be a valuable tool for evaluating episodes of monetary policy since 1999. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083306
The main challenge of forecasting credit default risk in loan portfolios is forecasting the default probabilities and the default correlations. We derive a Merton-style threshold-value model for the default probability which treats the asset value of a firm as unknown and uses a factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082801
and identifies specific channels through which such effects occur. Based on a gravity model we examine a panel data set on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534150
-financial corporations in Germany during the recent financial crisis. We use a panel approach based on a unique data set which matches the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646499
We use oil price forecasts from the Consensus Economic Forecast poll to analyze how forecasters form their expectations. Our findings seem to indicate that the extrapolative as well as the regressive expectation formation hypothesis play a role. Standard measures of forecast accuracy reveal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008474656
from country-specific vectorautoregressive (VAR) models and a non-standard panel VAR model match. In the country …-specific VAR models, the impulse responses vary across countries in an unrestricted fashion. In the panel VAR model, the impulse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010535439
analyze the dynamic relations between efficiency and performance in the German banking market. To this end we use panel data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082751
statistics. The panel data set contains some 2,300 German firms' balance sheet data covering the years 1988-1998. While the Q … panel data by Gilchrist and Himmelberg (1995, 1998) enables the Q-theory to be applied to non-quoted firms which are by far …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083058