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We revisit the hypothesis that cyclical fluctuations in unemployment are caused by shocks to the discount rate. We use a rich search-theoretic model of the labor market in which the UE, EU and EE rates are all endogenous. Analytically, we show that an increase in the discount rate lowers the UE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481623
This study measures the heterogeneity of establishment-level employment changes in the U.S. manufacturing sector over the 1972 to 1986 period. We measure this heterogeneity in terms of the gross creation and destruction of jobs and the rate at which jobs are reallocated across plants. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475277
We survey the recent empirical literature on the effects of offshoring on wages, employment and displacement. We start with the measurement of offshoring, focusing on the use of imported inputs that could have been produced by the importing firm. We overview key theories related to offshoring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456633
replicating the observed levels of volatility of unemployment and other key variables. I take variations in productivity growth … market are essential for understanding the volatility of unemployment. These models include simple equilibrium wage … of the three models match the observed volatility of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466992
Viele Fragen rund um den Brexit sind weiterhin offen. Es kann nicht ausgeschlossen werden, dass sich Großbritannien und die Europäische Union nicht auf einen Austrittsvertrag einigen können. Dann könnte es zu einem sogenannten harten Brexit (No-Deal Brexit) kommen. Wir haben die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135328
has also possessed excess volatility' in the past century. It finds no evidence of excess volatility in the pre-World War … I German stock market. By contrast, there is some evidence of excess volatility in the post-World War II German stock … volatility of German stock indices before 1914 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474925
price and wage rigidities to study four countries (the U.S., the U.K., Sweden, and Germany) during the financial crisis and … factors were also important in the U.K., but less so in Sweden and Germany. Reduced matching efficiency was considerably less … important in the U.K. and Sweden than in the U.S., but matching efficiency improved in Germany, helping to keep unemployment low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460226
This paper analyzes the implications of international asset risks for the operation of the international adjustment process, with special emphasis on the scope for monetary policy. After a brief review of actual practice in the evaluation of country risk, the paper discusses a number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478620
We distinguish between "good" and "bad" carry trades constructed from G-10 currencies. The good trades exhibit higher Sharpe ratios and sometimes positive return skewness, in contrast to the bad trades that have both substantially lower Sharpe ratios and highly negative return skewness....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479376
We describe a novel currency investment strategy, the 'dollar carry trade,' which delivers large excess returns, uncorrelated with the returns on well-known carry trade strategies. Using a no-arbitrage model of exchange rates we show that these excess returns compensate U.S. investors for taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462229