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This discussion paper presents a microsimulation model of household distress. We use logit analysis to estimate the extent to which a household’s risk of being financially distressed depends on net income after tax and loan servicing costs. The impact of assumed macroeconomic shocks on this...
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deregulation in Finland was similar to that in the other Nordic countries. As in Norway and Sweden, household indebtedness started … loans. Measured by the ratio of household debt to annual disposable income, household indebtedness peaked in 1990 at more … plummeted. High indebtedness and overcapacity especially in the domestic sector will require several years of adjusting. …
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percentage change in GDP, an income surprise variable combined with lagged aggregate indebtedness, a real interest rate surprise … variable combined with lagged aggregate indebtedness, and a deregulation dummy. The innovation in this paper is the use of … surprise variables based on macroeconomic forecasts. According to the results, high indebtedness combined with negative …
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