The 1990s have witnessed an increase of international financial turbulence. Indeed, the frequency, the size, the geographic extension, and the social costs of financial crises have made the topic a global policy issue. An array of policy actions have been advocated to prevent crises from...

This paper investigates the cyclical co-movements between US stocks and interest rates by testing a simple model where divergence between stock and bond price behavior is explained by “stock market strength,” where the latter depends on the market climate about future corporate profits—as...