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The contribution of the present paper is twofold. First, we show that in a situation where agents can only observe a noisy signal of the shock to future economic fundamentals, the "noisy news", SVAR models can still be successfully employed to estimate the shock and the associated impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851316
We introduce noisy information into a standard present value stock price model. Agents receive a noisy signal about the structural shock driving future dividend variations. The resulting equilibrium stock price includes a transitory component —the “noise bubble”— which can be responsible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754462
This paper uses a structural, large dimensional factor model to evaluate the role of `news' shocks (shocks with a delayed effect on productivity) in generating the business cycle. We find that (i) existing small-scale VECM models are affected by `non-fundamentalness' and therefore fail to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009150877