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estimator for forecasting time series, with a special attention to GARCH and ACD models. The local large sample properties of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005075728
baseline GARCH but not so relative to the range; there are relevant gains from modeling volatility trends and using realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005075734
The Multiplicative Error Model introduced by Engle (2002) for non-negative valued processes is specified as the product of a (conditionally autoregressive) scale factor and an innovation process with positive support. In this paper we propose a multivariate extension of such a model, by taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731544
This paper assesses the performance of volatility forecasting using focused selection and combination strategies to include relevant explanatory variables in the forecasting model. The focused selection/combination strategies consist of picking up the model that minimizes the estimated risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731546