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In this paper we assess the stability of open economy backward looking Phillips curves estimated across two different exchange rate regimes. The time series we deal with come from the simulation of a New-Keynesian hybrid model suited for performing monetary policy analysis. The statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345284
In most existing DSGE models, parameters are supposed constant and exogenous shocks have zero mean. This makes difficult to treat structural change and anticipated effects of future reforms. Introducing dummy variables in the DSGE model can only handle unexpected changes. This papers deals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345311
In recent years the computers have shown to be a powerful tool in financial forecasting. Many machine learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342917
This paper examines the major interest groups in the debate over allowing the wholesale re-importation of prescription drugs through the Pharmaceutical Market Access Act. By making use of the logit model, we see the effects that each of these groups has had on the voting behavior of the 108 th...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114031
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706641
We examine out of sample predictive power of real time monetary models with nonlinear adjustment in forecast errors for the Pound Sterling/US Dollar exchange rates. Real time revisions of U.K. and U.S. monetary aggregates and output are significant. By studying recursive out of sample forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537456
-term relationship. We finally conclude by comparing the forecasting ability of these two approaches with classical models such as Random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537606