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channel using a popular internet measure of "prophetic activity" and a 9/11 event study. I also analyze survey data covering …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825622
Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cross-country panel of growth forecasts and new methodological insights, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646415