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This paper examines the conditional time-varying currency betas from five developed markets and four emerging markets. A trivariate BEKK-GARCH-in-mean model is used to estimate the timevarying conditional variance and covariance of returns of stock index, the world market portfolio and changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363801
activity and price inflation, leading us to use it in forecasting Singapores business cycles. We find that the forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363910
This paper attempts to address both theoretical and practical considerations for a tax such as financial transactions taxes (FTT). It includes examples of FTT in the wider context, for example, on stocks and derivatives, currency transactions, and tangible property. Most of the discussion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650948
During the past five years or so, most East Asian economies including the Philippines experienced a rising level of foreign exchange reserves and rapidly appreciating currencies both in nominal and real terms. One cause has been the resurgence of capital flows, which makes the issue of how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363497
The relatively successful management of cross-border capital flows has enabled the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) to achieve an extremely high average growth rate of more than 10 percent while keeping inflation under control. The management of cross-border capital flows is an indispensable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363815
Despite a plethora of programs for increased financial co-operation in Asia, there has been very little real progress in developing a regional architecture for financial co-operation in Asia. While the risks of repetition of 1997-98 style financial crisis in Asia are not high today, there are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363876
Most of the existing literature has used single reserve adequacy measures to evaluate the volume of excess reserves. In this paper, we employ empirical methods to generate a comprehensive reserve adequacy measure, incorporating the various objectives of holding reserves, and compare the actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365436
We investigate two methods for using daily stock returns to forecast, and update forecasts of, quarterly real output growth. Both methods aggregate daily returns in some manner to form a single stock market variable. We consider (i) augmenting the quarterly AR(1) model for real output growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363654
that our mixed frequency models perform well in forecasting real output growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363915
This paper provides an outlook for the Indian economy in the light of the extraordinary global financial crisis, that started in the US, but which has now transformed into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Indian economy was slowing down even before the onset of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363945