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of key variables-potential GDP, the natural rate of unemployment, and the equilibrium real interest rate, need to solve a … them. Further, low-frequency movements of unemployment suggest a failure of the basic idea that departures from the …-frequency movements of unemployment. I conclude that monetary policymakers should not try to discern neutral values of real variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467025
unemployment, and negative growth forecasting errors in a panel of 30 countries from 1960 to 2012. Consistent with the "credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457088
response to demand and productivity shifts. Unemployment is sustained because the marginal value of labor is not equated across … transactions cost-mobility constraints. Contracts provide full unemployment insurance for risks that are diversifiable by pooling … atheory of consumption rigidity rather than wage rigidity. Another empirical implication is that unemployment incidence is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478007
Almost exactly two years ago COVID-19 spread to the United States. Following the federalism model, the 50 states and their governors and legislators made many of their own pandemic policy choices to mitigate the damage from the virus. States learned from one another over time about what policies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191023
government had taken over the role. Here I briefly describe the cases of prices, GDP, and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479387
This paper draws on household survey data from countries of all income levels to measure how average unemployment rates … vary with income per capita. We document that unemployment is increasing with GDP per capita. Furthermore, we show that … this fact is accounted for almost entirely by low-educated workers, whose unemployment rates are strongly increasing in GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480823
This paper describes a new data set of the forecasts of output growth, inflation, and unemployment prepared by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463441
unemployment rate, to decreases (increases) in per capita real GDP and to decreases (increases) in the police force. The same … result is obtained between unemployment and property crime in annual state-level panel data. These results suggest that it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467475
Schumpeter's concept of creative destruction as the engine of capitalist development is well-known. However, that the destructive part of creative destruction is a social cost and therefore biases our estimate of the impact of the innovation on NNP and on welfare is hardly acknowledged, with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458287
a link between stock volatility and real economic activity, such as unemployment rates, it can be misleading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461682