This paper describes the Federal Reserve's analytical framework under Volcker and Greenspan, as it was constructed in the early 1980s, during a period of high inflation. It traces the modeling and policy implications of this framework. It discusses the Fed's actual track record and the state of...

The zero lower bound on nominal interest rates has constrained the Federal Reserve’s setting of the overnight federal funds rate for over three years running. According to many macroeconomic models, such an extended period of being stuck at the zero bound has important implications for the...

This paper forms the basis for Janet Yellen's Presidential address to the Western Economic Association International, delivered July 1, 2004, in Vancouver, British Columbia.

Presentation to the Financial Women’s Association of San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, October 15, 2012