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Monetary policy: why money matters, and interest rates don’t

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2012

rate. Money’s role in monetary policy has been tertiary, at best. Indeed, several influential economists have suggested … that money is irrelevant for monetary policy. They suggest that central banks can control inflation by (i) controlling a … rate in order to exert greater control over longer-term rates. I offer an alternative perspective: namely, that money is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010558739

Using extraneous information to analyze monetary policy in transition economies

Gavin, William T.; Kemme, David M. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

Empirical work in macroeconomics is plagued by small sample size and large idiosyncratic variation. This problem is especially severe in the case of transition economies. We use a mixed estimation method incorporating information from OECD country data to estimate the parameters of a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490941

The efficient market hypothesis and identification in structural VARs

Sarno, Lucio; Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2003

Structural vector autoregression (SVAR) models are commonly used to investigate the effect of structural shocks on economic variables. The identifying restrictions imposed in many of these exercises have been criticized in the literature. This paper extends this literature by showing that if the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360546

The relationship between the federal funds rate and the Fed's federal funds rate target: is it open market or open mouth operations?

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2000

It is widely believed that the Fed controls the funds rate by altering the degree of pressure in the reserve market through open market operations when it changes its target for the federal funds rate. Recently, however, several economists have suggested that open market operations may not be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360541

Identifying the liquidity effect: the case of nonborrowed reserves

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 1996

Despite the fact that efforts to identify it empirically have largely been futile, the liquidity effect plays a central role in conventional monetary theory and policy. Recently, however, an increasing volume of empirical work [Christiano and Eichenbaum (1992a,b), Christiano, Eichenbaum and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360647

The identification of the response of interest rates to monetary policy actions using market-based measures of monetary policy shocks

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2009

It is common practice to estimate the response of asset prices to monetary policy actions using market-based measures of monetary policy shocks, such as the federal funds futures rate. I show that because interest rates and market-based measures of monetary policy shocks respond simultaneously...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077869

How did we get to inflation targeting and where do we go now? a perspective from the U.S. experience

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2009

This paper advances the hypothesis that the transition from there-is-little-central-banks-can-do-to-control-inflation to inflation targeting occurred because central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, demonstrated that central banks can control inflation rather than a consequence of marked...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077875

A new federal funds rate target series: September 27, 1982, - December 31, 1993

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2005

meetings, the FOMC Blue Book, the Report of Open Market Operations and Money Market Conditions, and data that the author …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352810

Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2005

Despite its important role in macroeconomics and finance, the expectations hypothesis (EH) of the term structure of interest rates has received little empirical support. While the EH*s poor performance has been attributed to a variety of sources, none appear to account for the EH*s poor...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352812

The daily liquidity effect

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2006

Motivated, on the one hand, by the belief that the Fed controls the short-term rate through open market operations, and on the other, by "the lack of convincing proof that this is what happens," Hamilton (1997) suggested that more convincing evidence of the liquidity effect could be obtained...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352851