Showing 1 - 10 of 620
This paper shows that there are striking implications that stem from including durable goods in otherwise conventional sticky price models. The behavior of these models depends heavily on whether durable goods are present and whether these goods have sticky prices. If long-lived durables have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076801
We estimate output growth rate spectra for 58 countries. The spectra exhibit diverse shapes. To study the sources of this diversity, we estimate the short-run, business cycle, and long-run frequency components of the sampled series. For most OECD countries the bulk of the spectral mass is in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126132
The paper is concerned with a class of trend cycle filters, encompassing popular ones, such as the Hodrick-Prescott filter, that are derived using the Wiener-Kolmogorov signal extraction theory under maintained models that prove unrealistic in applied time series analysis. As the maintained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407935
A controversial result of some current research on the real business cycles is the claim that a common stochastic trend(the cumulative effect of permanent shocks to productivity)underlies the bulk of economic fluctuations. If confirmed, this will imply that many other forces have been relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412719
This paper compares the depth of the Recent Crisis and the Great Depression. We use a new data set to compare the drop in activity in the industrialized countries for seven activity indicators. This is done under the assumption that the Recent Crisis leveled off in mid-2009 for production and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615592
Inflation targeting was adopted by several countries, including Sweden, in the 1990s. We evaluate the Swedish inflation … compared to previous regimes adopted in Sweden during the 20th century. Our approach to evaluate inflation targeting is … century of observations, inflation targeting in Sweden is a success – at least so far. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083376
Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886924
Not so much and we should not, at least not yet.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126213
The introduction of a common monetary policy in eleven European countries increased the need for leading indicators for that area. A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076700
Most of the papers in the sticky-price literature are based on a log- linearization around the zero inflation steady … state, a simplifying but counterfactual assumption. This paper shows that when trend inflation is considered, both the long … results obtained by models log-linearized around a zero inflation steady state are quite misleading. Furthermore, the same is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076806