"Using German data this study applies an unobserved-components approach to disentangle the unemployment rate into a … trend component of unemployment, which triggers permanent reactions of the workers, is likely connected to a structural … effect. By splitting up the participation effect of changes in the unemployment rate our analysis differs profoundly from …

unemployment persistence. …

In this paper, we focus on and examine the empirical evidence of non- linearity in aggregate Canadian unemployment … reject the null hypothesis of a linear structure for Canadian unemployment. …

"This paper studies the patterns of unemployment dynamics in Germany. To provide a deeper insight into the margins of … unemployment adjustment, we employ a structural VAR model and identify the effects of a technology shock as well as two policy …

components of matching efficiency and separation rate (shifting parameters) as well as unemployment and vacancies. Cointegration …

forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA's regional agencies are asked about their … expectations of future labor market developments. We generate an aggregate unemployment leading indicator that exploits serial …

This paper extends the standard Real Business Cycle model to incorporate sectoral shifts in unemployment. Using … possibility of generating persistent aggregate unemployment. Calibrated to Canadian data, the models suggest that the introduction … the observed persistence in unemployment. Empirically, we estimated a Vector Auto-Regressive model and successfully …

A vital implication of unemployment persistence applies to the Bank of Canada's disinflation policies since it … adversely influences unemployment and considerably lengthens recessions. This paper tests for persistence in Canadian sectoral … unemployment, using the modified rescaled-range test. Our results show evidence of persistence in sectoral unemployment that …