Showing 1 - 10 of 473
The paper analyzes two questions: (i) the effect of a monetary policy shock on the business cycle and (ii) the extent to which a shift in a monetary policy affects the dynamics of business cycle. Unlike previous literature, to answer these questions, we measure cycle movements by calculating an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076805
A recent literature has pointed at potential negative effects of exchange rate volatility on innovation. In this paper … years 1987 - 2003. We find that the direct negative effect of volatility is pronounced in manufacturing sector but is … dominated by the indirect effect via the export channel. Services do not face any effects of volatility on R&D intensities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005079107
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017501
We argue that the role played by output-composition changes on the decline in US output volatility has been incorrectly …-percent of the volatility decline since the 1950’s. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561352
Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755211
The institution of slavery displays a puzzling historical pattern: it is found mostly at intermediate stages of agricultural development, in horticultural societies, and less frequently among hunter-gatherers and societies at more advanced agrarian stages. We explain this rise-and- fall pattern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125014
The ongoing process of European integration is likely to increase trade and factor mobility thereby increasing interregional competition and affecting the interregional division of labor. From a theoretical standpoint, rising specialization and polarization of European regions may result from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566199
The paper offers a new explanation for the cause of the Great Inflation by constructing a model that explicitly separates the roles of government and monetary policymakers. A mechanism that inflation can accelerate even if an inflation target is low is uncovered. The model solves the puzzle of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124998
We construct comprehensive and comparable indices on the most relevant components of economic infrastructure. An unobserved components model is employed to cover the largest possible number of developing and developed countries over the period 1990-2010. We map major findings from the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886848
Factor-augmented VARs (FAVARs) have combined standard VARs with factor analysis to exploit large data sets in the study of monetary policy. FAVARs enjoy a number of advantages over VARs: they allow a better identification of the monetary policy shock; they can avoid the use of a single variable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076826