Davis, Steven; von Wachter, Till Marco - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2011
-displacement earnings if displaced in mass-layoff events that occur when the national unemployment rate is below 6 percent. They lose a … staggering 2.8 years of pre-displacement earnings if displaced when the unemployment rate exceeds 8 percent. These results … opportunities respond to contemporaneous economic conditions. Finally, we confront leading models of unemployment fluctuations with …