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A Model of Primary and Secondary Waves in Investment Cycles

Fioretti, Guido - EconWPA - 2002

. Uniting Schumpeter's concern for innovation with Keynes' concern for uncertainty and expectations formation, this article … focuses on the behaviour of entrepreneurs confronting uncertainty caused by innovation. Entrepreneurs' behaviour is … opened up by a successful innovation generates a state of optimism in the minds of single entrepreneurs, which eventually …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077089

Evidence Theory: A Mathematical Framework for Unpredictable Hypotheses

Fioretti, Guido - EconWPA - 2002

Shafer's evidence theory is a branch of the mathematics of uncertain reasoning that allows for novel possibilities to be conceived by a decision-maker. Many of its findings exhibit striking similarities with an alternative decision theory purported by Shackle in the 1950s, before expected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125582

A Cognitive Model of the Learning Curve

Fioretti, Guido - EconWPA - 2002

This article provides a cognitive foundation of the parameters that regulate a model of the learning curve. Organizational learning and its actual occurrence are linked to the number of available categories and to the amount of information to be processed.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561382

A Cognitive Approach to Organizational Complexity

Fioretti, Guido; Visser, Bauke - Tinbergen Instituut - 2004

Organizational theory has construed complexity as an objective characteristic of either the structure or the behaviour of an organization. We argue that to further our understanding it should be understood in terms of human cognition of a structure or behavior. This cognitive twist is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257510