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A Model of Primary and Secondary Waves in Investment Cycles

Fioretti, Guido - EconWPA - 2002

. Uniting Schumpeter's concern for innovation with Keynes' concern for uncertainty and expectations formation, this article … focuses on the behaviour of entrepreneurs confronting uncertainty caused by innovation. Entrepreneurs' behaviour is … opened up by a successful innovation generates a state of optimism in the minds of single entrepreneurs, which eventually …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077089

Evidence Theory: A Mathematical Framework for Unpredictable Hypotheses

Fioretti, Guido - EconWPA - 2002

Shafer's evidence theory is a branch of the mathematics of uncertain reasoning that allows for novel possibilities to be conceived by a decision-maker. Many of its findings exhibit striking similarities with an alternative decision theory purported by Shackle in the 1950s, before expected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125582

A Cognitive Model of the Learning Curve

Fioretti, Guido - EconWPA - 2002

This article provides a cognitive foundation of the parameters that regulate a model of the learning curve. Organizational learning and its actual occurrence are linked to the number of available categories and to the amount of information to be processed.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561382

Communications Policy and Information Technology: Promises, Problems, Prospects

Cranor, Lorrie Faith (contributor); … - The MIT Press

New technologies, although developed with optimism, often fall short of their predicted potential and create new problems. Communications technologies are no different. Their utopian proponents claim that universal access to advanced communications technologies can help to feed the hungry, cure...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973102

Communications Policy in Transition: The Internet and Beyond

Compaine, Benjamin M. (contributor); … - The MIT Press

Until the 1980s, it was presumed that technical change in most communications services could easily be monitored from centralized state and federal agencies. This presumption was long outdated prior to the commercialization of the Internet. With the Internet, the long-forecast convergence of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034481