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China’s Economic Growth 1978-2025: What We Know Today about China’s Economic Growth Tomorrow

Holz, Carsten A - EconWPA - 2005

Views of the future China vary widely. While some believe that the collapse of China is inevitable, others see the emergence of a new superpower that increasingly poses a threat to the U.S. This paper examines the economic growth prospects of China over the next two decades. Extrapolating past...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556063

New Capital Estimates for China

Holz, Carsten A - EconWPA - 2005

Data on physical capital are an indispensable part of economic growth and efficiency studies. In the case of China, economy-wide fixed asset series are usually derived by aggregating gross fixed capital formation (net of depreciation) over time, and sectoral/ownership-specific series by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412585

A Model of Primary and Secondary Waves in Investment Cycles

Fioretti, Guido - EconWPA - 2002

. Uniting Schumpeter's concern for innovation with Keynes' concern for uncertainty and expectations formation, this article … focuses on the behaviour of entrepreneurs confronting uncertainty caused by innovation. Entrepreneurs' behaviour is … opened up by a successful innovation generates a state of optimism in the minds of single entrepreneurs, which eventually …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077089

Evidence Theory: A Mathematical Framework for Unpredictable Hypotheses

Fioretti, Guido - EconWPA - 2002

Shafer's evidence theory is a branch of the mathematics of uncertain reasoning that allows for novel possibilities to be conceived by a decision-maker. Many of its findings exhibit striking similarities with an alternative decision theory purported by Shackle in the 1950s, before expected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125582

A Cognitive Model of the Learning Curve

Fioretti, Guido - EconWPA - 2002

This article provides a cognitive foundation of the parameters that regulate a model of the learning curve. Organizational learning and its actual occurrence are linked to the number of available categories and to the amount of information to be processed.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561382