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We argue that the role played by output-composition changes on the decline in US output volatility has been incorrectly …-percent of the volatility decline since the 1950’s. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561352
importance of the market movements. These indices are based on the price volatility and are computed by integrating mapped asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076995
applications in power industries. This model with stochastic volatility of the forward price is built using the ideas and equations … of stochastic differential geometry in order to close the system of equations for the forward price and its volatility …. Stationary distributions for the forward price volatility are found analytically as well as the forward price curves in the one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124894
affected by ‘vo- latility contagion’ coming from emerging markets. I find also some partial support for the ‘volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125528
This paper examines the determinants of the volatility in growth rates, seeking to expand on a very limited literature … which has focused almost exclusively on financial determinants of volatility. An analysis of 41 variables and their effects … on growth volatility yields some surprising results: the relationship between financial sophistication and volatility is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126343
This paper examines the forecasting performance of GARCH’s models used with agricultural commodities data. We compare different possible sources of forecasting improvement, using various statistical distributions and models. We have chosen to confine our analysis on four indices which are the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134650
Estimates of daily volatility are investigated. Realized volatility can be computed from returns observed over time … intervals of different sizes. For simple statistical reasons, volatility estimators based on high-frequency returns have been … volatility bias. On the basis of a simple theoretical model for foreign exchange data, the incoherent term can be filtered away …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134661
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134945
States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial … mature market economies, reduces cyclical volatility both in the short and in the long run. Weak indications are found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062709
According to the Mixture of Distributions Hypothesis (MDH), returns volatility and trading volume are driven by a …) volatility and trading volume changes in different financial markets. An implication is that returns volatility in one stock … market should show positive and contemporaneous correlation with returns volatility in another stock market. This paper tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407887