Showing 1 - 10 of 15
factor models with GARCH dynamics (GARCH(1,1)-M, IGARCH(1,1)-M, Nonlinear Asymmetric GARCH(1,1)-M and Glosten …-Jagannathan-Runkle GARCH(1,1)-M) and three different distributions for the disturbances (Normal, Student's t and Generalized Error Distribution … compared with forecasts based on individual GARCH(1,1)-M models, static factor models, naive, random walk and exponential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407963
return and volatility equations. When using the GARCH (1,1) specification only for the return equation and the Modified-GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413108
This paper presented the empirical results of the volatility transmission of overnight rate along the yield curve in case of Pakistan. The results indicate that the volatility transmission of overnight repo rate is higher at the shorter end of the yield curve while lower at the longer end. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107405
Sornette et al. (1996), Sornette and Johansen (1997), Johansen et al. (2000) and Sornette (2003a) proposed that, prior to crashes, the mean function of a stock index price time series is characterized by a power law decorated with log-periodic oscillations, leading to a critical point that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113835
models (Exponential Smoothing, ARIMA and GARCH) based on multi-step ahead forecast mean squared errors. We investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005042727
This paper is focused on the historical development of selected exchange rates' volatility, that is: AUD, CAD, DEM, DKK, EUR, FRF, GBP, JPY, SEK and CHF against USD. The paper aims to show that relatively large increment of exchange markets' volatility is nothing special in the historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014733
Pakistan. This paper utilizes Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Hetroskedasticity (GARCH) model to estimate volatility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005105921
. Time series models with GARCH errors are also considered. Based on formal econometrics tests, this study shows that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076958
Volatility of financial markets is an important topic for academics, policy makers and market participants. In this study first I summarized several specifications for the conditional variance and also define some methods for combination of these specifications. Then assuming that the squared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556286
different industrial sectors. A competitive partial-equilibrium model with quadratic adjustment costs in investment and a GARCH … model, the GARCH property is inherited by the aggregate investment process in the rational-expectations equilibrium. The … conjectured, GARCH effects play an important role in some sectors but are not significant in others. Astonishingly, the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561184