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under uncertainty and imprecision risk. In the fifth part fuzzy probabilistic sets are applied for actuarial mathematics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260964
The optimal stopping problem for the risk process with interests rates and when claims are covered immediately is considered. An insurance company receives premiums and pays out claims which have occured according to a renewal process and which have been recognized by them. The capital of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008493598
function and underlying uncertainty. We provide analytic expressions and numerical examples for discount factors assuming … simple utility functions and gaussian uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005135046
We give short proofs of general theorems about optimal entry and exit problems in Levy models, when payoff streams may have discontinuities and be non-monotone. As applications, we consider exit and entry problems in the theory of real options, and an entry problem with an embedded option to exit.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008788791
Health fluctuations render the outcome of any treatment switch uncertain, so that decision makers might have to wait for more information before optimally switching treatments. This paper sets up a stochastic model that provides an optimal rule for the timing of treatment switch. The results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011118532
Markov chain theory is proving to be a powerful approach to bootstrap highly nonlinear time series. In this work we provide a method to estimate the memory of a Markov chain (i.e. its order) and to identify its relevant states. In particular the choice of memory lags and the aggregation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259232
In this paper we test a particular variant of the (Repulsive) Particle Swarm method on some rather difficult global optimization problems. A number of these problems are collected from the extant literature and a few of them are newly introduced. First, we introduce the Particle Swarm method of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836253
knowledge such as survey statistics and expert opinions forms the core of a study on the uncertainty of the combined knowledge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005616690
A certain spectrum, indexed by a\in[0,\infty], of upper bounds P_a(X;x) on the tail probability P(X\geq x), with P_0(X;x)=P(X\geq x) and P_\infty(X;x) being the best possible exponential upper bound on P(X\geq x), is shown to be stable and monotonic in a, x, and X, where x is a real number and X...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107455
In a Hilbert space setting, necessary and sufficient conditions for the minimum norm solution u to the equation Su = Rz to be continuously dependent on z are given. These conditions are used to study continuity of the minimum energy and linear-quadratic control problems for infinite dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111806