This paper describes the Federal Reserve's analytical framework under Volcker and Greenspan, as it was constructed in the early 1980s, during a period of high inflation. It traces the modeling and policy implications of this framework. It discusses the Fed's actual track record and the state of...

The aim of this paper is to provide evidence about the existence or non- existence of structural breaks in exchange rates of European transition economies. We used the testing procedure of Vogelsang (1997) that allows for detecting a break at an unknown date in the trend function of a dynamic...

In the current policy debate, it is often argued that foreign exchange interventions by Asian central banks lead to an excessive appreciation of the euro against the dollar. This paper shows that in a three asset portfolio model the opposite holds: Interventions by Japan's central bank...