This paper examines the validity of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) for the foreign exchange market of Papua New Guinea (PNG) using data on spot exchange rates for four major foreign currencies during the recent float. The unit root test results indicate that all the four exchange rates...

This study tests weak and semi-strong form efficiency of the foreign exchange market in Sri Lanka using six bilateral foreign exchange rates during the recent float. Weak-form efficiency is examined using unit root tests while semi-strong form efficiency is tested using co- integration and...

A LOOK AT EXCHANGE RATE AND MONETARY POLICY IN MALAWI* Prepared by K Simwaka Research & Statistics Department Reserve Bank of Malawi Abstract The paper assesses whether the exchange rate is affected by monetary policy and whether these effects are permanent or transitory. The paper takes the...

The paper reviews the recent conduct of monetary policy and the central bank’s rule-based behavior in Russia. Using different policy rules, we test whether the central bank in Russia reacts to changes in inflation, output gap and the exchange rate in a consistent and predictable manner. Our...

Using nonlinear unit root tests developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003), we find strong evidence that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Wholesale Price Index (WPI) based Malaysian Ringgit – U.S. Dollar (MYR/USD) real exchange rates are nonlinear stationary, implying that MYR/USD nominal...

Using nonlinear unit root tests developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003), we find strong evidence that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Wholesale Price Index (WPI) based Malaysian Ringgit – U.S. Dollar (MYR/USD) real exchange rates are nonlinear stationary, implying that MYR/USD nominal...

The purpose of this paper is to put the future of the US dollar into a logical framework which comprises the global development mechanism. Two models of growth collide: the US «locomotive», based on the international use of the dollar, and which requires exogenous pushes coming permanently...

The purpose of this paper is to review the performance of the monetary policy in Egypt during (1997-2003).Many salient economic lows and decrees were promulgated, such as the law NO 88/2003 on the central bank of Egypt(CBE),the banking system and currency. Also the decree on liberalizing the...

This paper examines the determinants of Uganda’s inflation rate during 1994M7-2005M6. We test the central hypothesis that Uganda’s inflation rate is always and everywhere a non-monetary phenomenon. A theoretical background relating inflation to monetary and other non-monetary factors is...

This paper re-examines the effects of inflation and exchange rate uncertainty on real economic activity. The existent literature has treated both issues as separate subject matters. It has emphasized either the issue of inflation uncertainty or exchange rate uncertainty on economic growth or on...