The aim of this paper is to provide evidence about the existence or non- existence of structural breaks in exchange rates of European transition economies. We used the testing procedure of Vogelsang (1997) that allows for detecting a break at an unknown date in the trend function of a dynamic...

L’objet de ce papier est de tenter de se prononcer sur la «part de responsabilité» de la variabilité du taux de change du DH dans la régression des exportations marocaines du secteur des industries de Textile-Habillement et Cuir.

In this paper, we examine the monetary model of the Malawi Kwacha – U S dollar exchange rate during the current floating exchange rate system by applying several recent developments in the econometrics of unit roots and cointegration. Several interesting and important results are found. A...

The general view of the media, bankers, business and politicians, not noticeably contradicted by academics, is that one of the main functions, or the main function, of the central bank is to analyse the progress of the economy, and then to steer it with skilful judgement towards health and...

This paper examines the mutually reinforcing interactions between exchange rate dynamics and technical trading strategies. I first show that technical trading systems have been quite profitable during the floating rate period. This profitability stems from the successful exploitation of...

Using nonlinear unit root tests developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003), we find strong evidence that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Wholesale Price Index (WPI) based Malaysian Ringgit – U.S. Dollar (MYR/USD) real exchange rates are nonlinear stationary, implying that MYR/USD nominal...

Using nonlinear unit root tests developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003), we find strong evidence that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Wholesale Price Index (WPI) based Malaysian Ringgit – U.S. Dollar (MYR/USD) real exchange rates are nonlinear stationary, implying that MYR/USD nominal...

The purpose of this paper is to put the future of the US dollar into a logical framework which comprises the global development mechanism. Two models of growth collide: the US «locomotive», based on the international use of the dollar, and which requires exogenous pushes coming permanently...

The purpose of this paper is to review the performance of the monetary policy in Egypt during (1997-2003).Many salient economic lows and decrees were promulgated, such as the law NO 88/2003 on the central bank of Egypt(CBE),the banking system and currency. Also the decree on liberalizing the...

This paper examines the determinants of Uganda’s inflation rate during 1994M7-2005M6. We test the central hypothesis that Uganda’s inflation rate is always and everywhere a non-monetary phenomenon. A theoretical background relating inflation to monetary and other non-monetary factors is...