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A theoretical model of inflationary dynamics in Ecuador is specified for the pre-dollarization period when the sucre was still the official currency. Parameter estimation is carried out using a battery of time series techniques. Monthly data from January 1964 to December 1994 are used in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126131
Classical parametric estimation methods applied to nonlinear regression and limited-dependent-variable models are very sensitive to misspecification and data errors. This sensitivity is addressed by the theory of robust statistics which builds upon parametric specification, but provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556311
This paper develops a flexible multi-dimensional assessment method for the comparison of different statistical-econometric techniques based on learning mechanisms, with a view to analysing and forecasting regional labour markets. The aim of this paper is twofold. A first major objective is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125575
En este trabajo se estudia la rentabilidad de la empresa agroalimentaria en Andalucía (España)mediante un conjunto de ratios, elaborados por el Instituto de Estadística de Andalucía a partir de la Central de Balances de Actividades Empresariales de Andalucía. El objeto es encontrar las...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125615
The aim of this paper is to develop and apply Neural Network (NN) models in order to forecast regional employment patterns in Germany. NNs are statistical tools based on learning algorithms with a distribution over a large amount of quantitative data. NNs are increasingly deployed in the social...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134566
This paper addresses the question of whether neural networks, a realistic cognitive model of the human information processing, can learn to backward induce in a two stage game with a unique subgame-perfect Nash Equilibrium. The result that the neural networks only learn a heuristic that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062328
Structural changes were the main focus of many studies in recent years. Changes which alter the socio-economic status of a nation from deprived and traditional nature to a developed and modern one. The main hypothesis of this study is that, the economic development does not occur through a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407960
In this paper we develop tests of functional form that are consistent against a class of nonlinear "smooth transition" models of the conditional mean. Our method is an extension of the consistent model specification tests developed by Bierens (1990), de Jong (1996) and Bierens and Ploberger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556316
In some cases, currency crises are followed by strong recessions (e.g., recent Asian and Argentinean crises), but in other cases they are not. This paper uses Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) to search for meaningful associations between speculative attacks' real effects and 28 variables that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556651
equities fail the test as inflation hedges, as had been quite widely believed, but that they take so long to pass. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124935